Going North ...

That's it folks ...

... 'Going North' for a while, from tomorrow morning ;-)

Blogging will thus be light, to virtually non-existent, I'm afraid ... but I will resume normal service as soon as I possibly can. I know you simply just can't wait??

I am obviously hoping that the weather is somewhat better than in this graphic, and that the sun keeps shining ;-))

Back (quickly!) to some local politics ;-)

Okay - enough (if only!) of all this Glasgow East depression ...

... remember that set of Lib-Dem/SNP local parking proposals that I posted about a few days ago?

Well, they are in the local press again today - article here - and it appears there are yet more problems, than even the political-ones, with what's being put forward!

I won't be around when the detailed proposals finally make it to Committee next Tuesday, but I'm willing to bet they'll be pretty-much rejected in their current form at the first hurdle ...


P.S. Why can't some of the SNP Local Councillors start advising Alex Salmond on political strategy??

Thoughts on a roller coaster ride ...

It was indeed a real roller coaster ride last night (earlier this morning!) ... definite echoes of the 4th May last year :-(

... and I do repeat my congratulations to John Mason, the winner.

Now, I did promise some further general thoughts on it all ... so here goes:

As a self-confessed political anorak, I've admitted that I have been variously completely fascinated and slightly aghast at the antics of this by-election.

It has though been a 'relatively' clean-fought contest (just think back to Monklands in 1994 ... and remember I come from Airdrie!), so I wouldn't want to overstate this ... but, Glasgow East has been a VERY traditional first-past-the-post by-election with two large 'Party Machines' slugging it out to the almost total exclusion of all others concerned.

Frankly, and this is not a whinge but a statement of fact, I think the media haven't helped by just-about completely ignoring all other candidates beyond the, so-called, 'four main Parties' ... that categorisation in itself has been woefully incorrect in the context of Glasgow, witness in particular the Greens who have several Councillors and an MSP in Glasgow and were yet 'lumped' in with the SSP and Solidarity as 'also-rans'?

And its true that the nature of the contest did dictate the style of messaging adopted by both main contenders, but lets be honest, it wasn't exactly a feast of well-thought through policy debate ... from either side. And, to some extent, that style of political campaigning will be dictated by the rules of the game.

But the fact is the rules are now very, very different for the Holyrood and Westminster levels of Government. Many have argued, with some justification, that Labour ran a far too-traditional 'winner-takes-all' style of campaign last May ... and that habit (unfortunately for me, politically) continues apace in current contests, no matter what the rules. But both main Parties did revert to that type over the last three-weeks - the SNP more successfully, obviously :-(

Politics has moved-on unrecognisably from the mid-1990's and I just sense, that as is often the case, most of the main Parties are really struggling to actually keep pace with public expectations now that the landscape is so drastically changed ... and, in particular, Labour is struggling with this.

So yes, the Glasgow East campaign has been both uplifting in the sense that it did unquestionably involve hundreds (if not thousands) of Party activists from both the SNP and Labour; but it was also deeply depressing in that it took the shape of such a traditional 'slug-fest' between two main contenders to the exclusion of all others.

It is a truism that 'traditional' politics is in deep, deep trouble in this country. I don't think Glasgow East has helped extract us from that trouble - at all.

None of that should distract from the immediate significance of the SNP victory ... but are simply my thoughts on the longer-term significance for wider-politics - and, sadly, I'm not convinced its the 'democratic' turning-point that some are claiming, and many of us are desperate to see.


P.S. None of that, for one second, is to deny this is a very, very bad result for Labour :-((

Congratulations due to John Mason

Result now in - I'll put a link up here in a few minutes, once I've listened to the speeches :-(

And, first things first, congratulations are due to John Mason and the SNP campaign team ...

... I also think, and hope the SNP would concur this morning, that Margaret Curran should be applauded for putting up a sterling effort in fighting this seat in what cannot exactly be described as auspicious circumstances for the Labour Party.

I know that local debate has been heated at times over the last three weeks (more on that 'much' later today), but I don't think its been truly comparable (by any stretch of the imagination) to previous classic, Scottish by-election 'battles' ... and that has to be to the general credit of all the candidates.

Secondly, I wouldn't expect any immediate, or dramatic response, to what's happened this morning from the UK Government ... I wouldn't want to diminish the significance of what's occurred - but it has been a by-election and not a General Election.

Thirdly, there's just no denying this is a very bad result for Labour as a political Party.

Not good at all.

Looks like a re-count :-(

Looks like a re-count in Glasgow East :-(

The BBC have just reported an SNP majority of 354 on the first-count ... if true, that IS pretty close and 'any' Party would be well within their rights to call for a re-count in such circumstances ...

... still, its going to mean a longer night (morning!) than anticipated.

Exit polls?

Just after 10pm, the polls have closed, and - guess what - early indications are it will be very, very close!

No exit polls - as far as I know? - but I think this graphic may reflect somewhat how the next few hours go ...

It does seem the turnout has been relatively low - well, well down from the 48.2% turnout in the General Election of 2005.

... I'm going to try and keep blogging right through until the result comes out - given the turnout, I'm assured it should be called around 2am.

Its all being streamed live onto the main BBC News website as well, which you should be able to find here.

Happy viewing!

... but guess that will depend on your politics - and the final result of course??


UPDATE: Now hearing that some are predicting turnout could actually be just above 45% ... I'd be very surprised if that's true, but we'll know soon enough ...

UPDATE 2: The BBC are now confidently predicting the turnout at 42.25% ... that's a good 5-6% higher than I'd anticipated - what the final impact will be, we should now within the hour.

He's nearly there ...

No - hopefully not John Mason ;-) ... but Barack Obama does appear to be dominating the news agenda again, almost as if HE IS the President of the United States?

Less than 2-hours before the Glasgow East polls close and the UK mainstream media is covering Obama's speech in Berlin more than that 'much closer to home' potential political 'earthquake'??

I'm no betting man, and certainly haven't put any money on that Glasgow East contest! ... but I am tempted to break a habit over the Presidential contest this November in the States ...

What do you REALLY make of this?

I've just caught up with yesterday's local press coverage of those parking proposals I posted about a couple days ago ...

... and, what do you know, they appear to be as good as 'dead-in-the-water' politically - all within hours of being thrust into the public domain.

I know plenty of politically experienced people read this blog ... so do have a read at that press article; check out those named (and unnamed) quotes; and then tell me the current Council Coalition isn't a political shambles?

Being uncharacteristically partisan for a second, its 'manna from heaven' for Edinburgh Labour politicians watching all of this ...

... but, there's a distinct trend forming here of no difficult decisions being taken on almost any subject matter.

Ultimately, that's not good for the City of Edinburgh.

Sunshine on Glasgow

By-election Day - and the sun is shining ;-)

... has to be good for a higher turnout, but who will it benefit most??

We'll know soon enough ...

Pond life!

No - the post title has nothing whatsoever to do with by-election candidates some 50-miles to the West ;-)

... enough (for now) of all things 'Glasgow East' - I was very briefly down at the allotment today, as we're away soon and it was the last chance to get over there before we all escape for our main summer break ...

... AND - wait for it - the pond,which as regular readers will know is literally only a few weeks old, already has a resident frog!!

Of course, the photographic proof is above :-))

Junior has already named him "Kero-chan" ... doesn't mean a lot to me, but apparently its after a Manga character out of a book entitled 'Sergeant Frog'??

I (obviously!) immediately tried to canvass his political views, but he appeared entirely dis-interested ... maybe a 'Glasgow East' message today after all?

NP website now live!

The Neighbourhood Partnership website, whose lack of existence I was bemoaning a few weeks ago, is now up and running!

It can be found by going here.

... it does appear to have lots of good content - some progress at last!

Lets hope it helps towards better attendance at forthcoming meetings?

Tribalism running riot

The Glasgow East by-election appears to be getting more and more partisan by the second - frankly, tribalism is now running riot across the blogosphere :-(

... I don't have to provide the links to prove it (I don't want to anyhow!) - you know its true.

And, personally, I think there's only going to be one 'long-term' loser come Friday morning: and it won't be either the SNP or Labour :-((

Now, I wasn't expecting weeks of detailed policy discussion and debate - its a by-election after all! - but, the fever-pitch I mentioned earlier, just keeps rising relentlessly.

I'll be sure to post more on this once the dust has settled ...

... meantime, I was sorry to hear that the Lib-Dem candidate had to pull out of the race - for today at least - due to a 'family emergency'. I don't know any of the details, but it must have been pretty serious to remove him from the campaign - I hope he's able to re-join the contest tomorrow and Thursday.

Information-void

Well, its after 3pm now and still no sign of any Transport Committee papers?

... bizarrely, some 'background papers' for the Committee Meeting next Tuesday have just been delivered to our Group Office, but no agenda or reports :-(

... none of the 'background papers' relate to the parking proposals :-((

... and still absolutely nothing up on CPOL!

Ah well, its undoubtedly all part of the "Bright New Future" master plan?


UPDATE: Just after 4pm and here we finally have it!

Unacceptable ...

My last post mentioned that there has clearly been political briefing of the press, before a report has been made public. As at typing this post (just before 12noon) the report in question is still not up on CPOL.

... okay, not ideal, but I'm not going to complain vociferously about the practice of politically briefing the press - I think previous Administrations occasionally adopted this tactic :-(

... but what is totally unacceptable is that a formal Council Communications News Release is now up on their website and the report is still not public. That's paid officers publicising an official Council report BEFORE its in the public domain.

Simply unacceptable ... not to mention damned unprofessional.

Tax parked cars to improve air quality?

A fairly significant report has been leaked (on purpose I have to presume?) to the Scotsman this morning ... it concerns the potential use of differential charges for parking permits across the city.

Unfortunately the actual report, which is going to the Transport Committee next Tuesday (29th July), has not yet been made publicly available and has not yet been discussed within the Council.

Not a great start in trying to reach any sort of consensus on such a contentious issue :-(

The principle of what's being suggested does deserve investigation, but without access to the details of the report, its almost impossible to conclude whether what's being proposed is sensible, fair or reasonable?

One thing does stand out, even from the leaked proposals, and that's the issue of air quality. One justification for the proposals seems to be that we need to take this 'type' of action to help meet air quality targets?

It is true that the city faces tough EU targets for air quality, the first of which become mandatory in 2010 - and that deadline isn't far away now! But, I fail to see how these proposals will have any radical impact on air quality - 'commuting' vehicles are the challenge here, and not 'residential' vehicles.

And will there be any consultation on the proposals ... nothing in the coverage of the leaked report confirms or denies this issue? Frankly, it would be unacceptable to proceed without a full (local) public debate about what's being put forward here ...


P.S. I'll put a link up to the report as soon as it becomes available on the Council site.

Labour support grows in latest opinion poll

No - not yet another rise in Labour support in the last few days of the Glasgow East by-election. If only, if only :-(

... but from the latest Guardian/ICM Westminster poll (out today), with Labour up a huge 3-points and the Tories down a disastrous 2. Now, if that general trend continued for around three more months, the two major UK-Parties would be level-pegging at 37% each ... and still leaving over a full year to run until any UK General Election ;-)

... as they say, 'hope springs eternal' ;-))

... back from Glasgow (2)

Back from Glasgow (2) ... gloriously sunny 'morning/afternoon' and one can only hope its like that on Thursday, as it does seem a lot will depend on getting the core vote out (for all the parties, but obviously for Labour/SNP in particular).

Still very hard to be completely certain about any outcome on the 24th July from the evidence of my time in the constituency ...

... one prediction only: it'll be close!

Vanishing poll lead?

Don't get too excited ... all you SNP blog-fans ;-) ... I'm just referring to some strange goings-on at the BBC Scotland web-site in the last 12-hours?

Before hitting the sack last night, this story had the absolute top slot on the 'BBC Scotland Politics' section of their website. I'm assuming it was referring to this poll from the Sunday Express today.

Now, I don't want to put too much significance on the content of another poll giving a lead to Labour ... as many have pointed out about last Sunday's Telegraph poll, the samples for these recent efforts have been only just over some 500 voters ...

... but, what is slightly odd is that this morning (before I head off to sunny Glasgow East itself!) I can only find the BBC story by googling it, as it appears to have been removed from the main links on their 'BBC Scotland Politics' section front-page?

Strange.