Tuesday, May 01, 2007

Only one poll that counts ...

Yet more polls out late this evening (featuring prominently in tomorrow's press) which indicate any gap between the two main parties is closing somewhat.

I'm not convinced personally by any of the national projections - all the parties have run very, very 'locally-focused' campaigns and I just can't see how a poll of one or two thousand people can be accurately extrapolated across the whole of Scotland with any degree of certainty whatsoever.

Maybe 10 years ago it was an accurate predictor, when tribal loyalties were much stronger ... but that's simply not the case now and I think the only safe prediction about Thursday is that there will be some very surprising local results that bear no resemblance to what's 'supposedly' happening nationally.

... we'll all know in two days time!

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